In collaboration with Payame Noor University and Iranian Society of Physiology and Pharmacology

Document Type : Article

Author

Ph.D., Department of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of ‎Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Iran‎

Abstract

Ecological niche models have found many applications in paleoecology, archeology and paleoanthropology. These models are based on niche theory and are used to model the distribution of species through time and space. Species distribution models use species distribution data and environmental predictors to model species distribution. In this study I used MaxEnt model, distribution records of the Homo neanderthalensis (Mousterian artefacts) and topographic and climatic data to reconstruct eco-cultural niche of the species on the Central Iranian Plateau. The performance of the model was assessed using the area (AUC) under the receiver operating curve (ROC). The predictive ability of the model was high (AUC = 0.827 for training and 0.813 for test data). The species past distribution model showed that there were numerous suitable patches for distribution of the species in the study area. The most continues patches were found in Yazd province, west of Semnan province and east of Isfahan province. With 48.3 percent contribution to the model, topographic heterogeneity was the most important predictor of this archaic human distribution. This is because topographic heterogeneity influences resource availability, meaning that areas with higher topographic heterogeneity provide more resources. The eco-cultural niche model predicts many suitable patches which can be target of future field excavations in the study area.

Keywords

Araújo, M.B.; Pearson, R.; Thuiller, W.; Erhard, M. (2005). Validation of species-climate    impact models under climate change. Global Change Biology; 11: 1504-1513.
Banks, W.E. (2017). The application of ecological niche modeling methods to archaeological data in order to examine culture-environment relationships and cultural trajectories. Quaternaire; 28: 271-276.
Banks, W.E.; Aubry, T.; d’Errico, F.; Zilhão, J.; Lira-Noriega, A.; Townsend Peterson, A. (2011). Eco-cultural niches of the Badegoulian: Unraveling links between cultural adaptation and ecology during the Last Glacial Maximum in France. Journal of Anthropological Archaeology; 30: 359-374.
Bazgir, B.; Ollé, A.; Tumung, L.; Becerra-Valdivia, L.; Douka, K.; Higham, T.; Made, J. van der, Picin, A.; Saladié, P.; López-García, J.M.; Blain, H.-A.; Allué, E.; Fernández-García, M.; Rey Rodríguez, I.; Arceredillo, D.; Bahrololoumi, F.; Azimi, M.; Otte, M.; Carbonell, E. (2017). Understanding the emergence of modern humans and the disappearance of Neanderthals: Insights from Kaldar Cave (Khorramabad Valley, Western Iran). Scientific Reports; 7: 43460.
Beeton, T.A.; Glantz, M.M.; Trainer, A.K.; Temirbekov, S.S.; Reich, R. M. (2014). The fundamental hominin niche in late Pleistocene Central Asia: a preliminary refugium model. Journal of Biogeography; 41: 95-110.
Benito, B.M.; Svenning, J.; Kellberg‐Nielsen, T.; Riede, F.; Gil‐Romera, G.; Mailund, T.; Kjaergaard, P.C.; Sandel, B.S. (2017). The ecological niche and distribution of Neanderthals during the Last Interglacial. Journal of Biogeography; 44: 51-61.
Biglari, F.; Mashkour, M.; Shidrang, S.; Javeri, M.; Yazdi, M.; Tengberg, M.; Bahrololumi, F.; Darvish, J.; Taheri, K. (2015). Qaleh Bozi, new evidence of Late Middle Paleolithic occupation in the Zayandeh-Rud Basin, Esfahan Province. Archaeological Researches of Iran; 7: 7-26.
Biglari, F. (2007). The Lower and Middle Paleolithic occupations of Iran: A brief review, In Iran, Fragments from Paradise, pp.31-39, Instituto Nacional de Antropologia e Historia, Mexico City.
Biglari, F.; Javeri, M.; Mashkour, M.; Yazdi, M.; Shidrang, S.; Tenberg, M.; Taheri K. (2009). Test Excavations at the Middle Paleolithic Sites of Qaleh Bozi, Southwest of Central Iran, a Preliminary Report”. In Iran Paleolithic, edited by M. Otte, F. Biglari, and J. Jaubert. Proceedings of the XV World Congress (Lisbon, 4-9 September 2006).
Bocherens, H. (2011). Diet and ecology of Neanderthals: implications from C and N isotopes: insights from bone and tooth biogeochemistry. In: Conard NJ and Richter J (eds). Neanderthal lifeways, subsistence, and technology: one hundred fifty years of Neanderthal study. New York: Springer, 73–85.
Conard, N.; Ghasidian, E.; Heydari, S. (2009). The open-air Late Paleolithic site of Bardia and the Paleolithic occupation of the Qaleh Gusheh sand dunes, Esfahan Province, Iran. In: Otte, M., Biglari, F., Jaubert, J. (Eds.), Iran Paleolithic, pp. 141-154, Proceedings of the XV World Congress UISPP, Lisbon, Vol. 28, BAR International Series 1968.
Chase, J.M.; Leibold, M. (2003). Ecological niches: linking classical and contemporary approaches. Chicago; London: University of Chicago Press.
Franklin, J.; Potts, A.J.; Fisher, E.C.; Cowling, R.M.; Marean, C.M. (2015). Paleodistribution modeling in archaeology and paleoanthropology. Quaternary Science Reviews; 110: 1-14.
Gómez-Robles, A. (2019). Dental evolutionary rates and its implications for the Neanderthal-modern human divergence. Science Advances; 5: eaaw1268.
Green, R.E.; Krause, J.; Briggs, A.W.; Maricic, T.; Stenzel, U.; M. Kircher, N. Patterson, H.; Li, W.; Zhai, M.H.-Y.; Fritz, N.F.; Hansen, E.Y.; Durand, A.-S.; Malaspinas, J.D.; Jensen, T.; Marques-Bonet, C.; Alkan, K.; Prüfer, M.; Meyer, H.A.; Burbano, J.M.; Good, R.; Schultz, A.; Aximu-Petri, A.; Butthof, B.; Höber, B.; Höffner, M.; Siegemund, A.; Weihmann, C.; Nusbaum, E.S.; Lander, C.; Russ, N.; Novod, J.; Affourtit, M.; Egholm, C.; Verna, P.; Rudan, D.; Brajkovic, Ž.; Kucan, I.; Gušic, V.B.; Doronichev, L.V.; Golovanova, C.; Lalueza-Fox, M.; de la Rasilla, J.; Fortea, A.; Rosas, R.W.; Schmitz, P.L.F.; Johnson, E.E.; Eichler, D.; Falush, E.; Birney, J.C.; Mullikin, Slatkin, M.; Nielsen, R.; Kelso, J.; Lachmann, M.; Reich, D.; Pääbo, S., (2010). A Draft Sequence of the Neandertal Genome. Science; 328: 710-722.
Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E. (2000). Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling; 135: 147-186.
Guisan, A.; Thuiller, W.; Zimmermann, N.E. (2017). Habitat suitability and distribution models: With Applications in R.  Cambridge University Press; Cambridge, UK.
Heydari-Guran, S. (2014). Paleolithic Landscapes of Iran. Archaeopress, Oxford.
Heydari-Guran, S.; Ghasidian, E.; Maerker, M.; Conard, N.J. (2011). Development of a geospatial database with WebGIS for the Paleolithic of the Iranian Plateau. The Lower and Middle Palaeolithic in the Middle East and Neighbouring Regions. Publisher: ERAUL 126, J.-M. Le Tensorer, R. Jagher & M. Otte (eds.).
Higham, T.; Douka, K.; Wood, R.; Ramsey, C.B.; Brock, F.; Basell, L.; Camps, M.; Arrizabalaga, A.; Baena, J.; Barroso-Ruíz, C.; Bergman, C.; Boitard, C.; Boscato, P.; Caparrós, M.; Conard, N.J.; Draily, C.; Froment, A.; Galván, B.; Gambassini, P.; Garcia-Moreno, A.; Grimaldi, S.; Haesaerts, P.; Holt, B.; Iriarte-Chiapusso, M.-J.; Jelinek, A.; Pardo, J.F.J.; Maíllo-Fernández, J.-M.; Marom, A.; Maroto, J.; Menéndez, M.; Metz, L.; Morin, E.; Moroni, A.; Negrino, F.; Panagopoulou, E.; Peresani, M.; Pirson, S.; la Rasilla, de, M.; Riel- Salvatore, J.; Ronchitelli, A.; Santamaria, D.; Semal, P.; Slimak, L.; Soler, J.; Soler, N.; Villaluenga, A.; Pinhasi, R.; Jacobi, R. (2014). The timing and spatiotemporal patterning of Neanderthal disappearance. Nature; 512: 306-309.
Hijmans, R.J. (2015). Raster: geographic data analysis and modeling. R package.
Hutchinson, G.E. (1959). Homage to Santa Rosalia, or why are there so many kinds of animals? American Naturalist; 93: 45-159.
Hutchinson, G.E. (1958). Concluding remarks. Cold Spring Harbor Symposia on Quantitative Biology; 22: 415-427.
Jarvis, A.; Reuter, H.I.; Nelson, A.; Guevara, E. (2008). Hole-filled SRTM for the globe Version 4. Available from the CGIAR-CSI SRTM 90m Database http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org on 15 April 2015.
Melchionna, M.; Di Febbraro, F.; Carotenuto, L.; Rook, A.; Mondanaro, S.; Castiglione, C.; Serio, V.A.; Vero, G.; Tesone, M.; Piccolo, J.; Diniz-Filho, A.F.; Raia P. (2018). Fragmentation of Neanderthals' pre-extinction distribution by climate change. Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology; 496: 146-154.
Merow, C.; Smith, M.J.; Silander, J.A. (2013). Practical guide to MaxEnt for modeling species’ distributions: what it does, and why inputs and settings matter. Ecography; 36: 1058-1069.
Moradi, S.; Sheykhi Ilanloo, S.; Kafash, A.; Yousefi, Y. (2019). Identifying high-priority    conservation areas for avian biodiversity using species distribution modeling. Ecological Indicators; 97: 159-164.
Naimi, B. (2015). Uncertainty analysis for species distribution models. R package version 1.1-15.
Nogués-Bravo, D. (2009). Predicting the past distribution of species climatic niches. Global Ecology Biogeography 18: 521-531.
Pearson, R.G.; Dawson, T.P. (2003). Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? Global Ecology and Biogeography; 12: 361-371.
Phillips, S.J.; Anderson, R.P.; Dudík, M.; Schapire, R.E.; Blair, M.E. (2017). Opening the black box: an open-source release of Maxent. Ecography; 40: 887-893.
Phillips, S.J.; Anderson, R.P.; Schapire, R.E. (2006). Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecolgical Modeling; 190: 231-259.
Pinhasi, R.; Jacobi, R. (2014). The timing and spatiotemporal patterning of Neanderthal disappearance. Nature; 512: 306-309.
Polechová, J.; Storch, D. (2008). Ecological niche. In: Evolutionary Ecology. Encyclopedia of Ecology. Vol. 2. (Jørgensen SE, Fath BD, eds). Elsevier, Oxford, pp 1088-1097.
Quinn, G.P.; Keough, M.J. (2002). Experimental designs and data analysis for biologists. Cambridge University Press; Cambridge, UK.
R Core Team. (2017). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Available from: https://www.R-project.org/.
Richards, M.P.; Trinkaus, E.R. (2009). Isotopic evidence for the diets of European Neanderthals and early modern humans. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences; 106: 16034-16039.
Richards, M.P.; Pettitt, P.B.; Trinkaus, E.R.; Smith, F.H.; Paunović, M.; Karavanić, I. (2000). Neanderthal diet at Vindija and Neanderthal predation: the evidence from stable isotopes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences; 97: 7663-7666.
Staubwasser, M.; Drăgușin, V.; Onac, B.P.; Assonov, S.; Ersek, V.; Hoffmann D.L.; Veres, D. (2018). Impact of climate change on the transition of Neanderthals to modern humans in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences; 115: 9116-9121.
Stein, A.; Gerstner, K.; Kreft, H. (2014). Environmental heterogeneity as a universal driver of species richness across taxa, biomes and spatial scales. Ecology Letters; 17: 866-880.
Svenning, J.C.; Fløjgaard, C.; Marske, K.A.; Nógues-Bravo, D.; Normand, S. (2011). Applications of species distribution modeling to paleobiology. Quaternary Science Reviews; 30: 2930-2947.
Vahdati Nasab, H.; Roustaei, K.; Rezvani, H. (2010). In: ‘‘Delazian (Mirak I): Evidence of Paleolithic Settlement at the Northern Edge of the Iranian Central Desert’’, Proceedings of the 6th International Congress on the Archaeology of the Ancient Near East, Rome, 5-10 May.
Vahdati Nasab, H. (2011). Paleolithic archaeology of Iran. International Journal of Humanities; 18: 63-87.
Vahdati Nasab, H.; Clark, G.A.; Turkamandi, S. (2013). Late Pleistocene dispersal corridors across the Iranian plateau: A case study from Mirak. A Middle Paleolithic Site on the Northern edge of the Iranian Central Desert (Dasht-e Kavir). Quaternary International; 300: 267-281.
Vahdati Nasab, H.; Feyz, Z. (2014). In: Investigation and identification of Paleolithic sites in the northern margin of Iranian Central Desert between Semnan and Sorkheh, Proceedings of the 12th Annual Archaeological Forum; pp. 466-468.
Vahdati Nasab, H.; Ariamanesh, S. (2015). Archeology of the Paleolithic period of Iran from the Beginning of the rural life. Cultural Heritage and Tourism Research Center, Tehran.
Vahdati Nasab, H.; Hashemi, M. (2016). Playas and Middle Paleolithic settlement of the Iranian Central Desert: The discovery of the Chah-e Jam Middle Paleolithic site. Quaternary International; 408: 140-152.
Vahdati Nasab, H.; Hashemi, M. (2018). Chah-e Jam, a Paleolithic site in southern Damghan. Iranian J. Archaeol. Res. 16 (8), 26-26. A. Sadraei, B. Anani / L’anthropologie (2018) 15 G Model ANTHRO-2693; No. of Pages 15.
Varela, S.; Lobo, J.M.; Hortal, J. (2011). Using species distribution models in paleobiogeography: A matter of data, predictors and concepts. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology; 310: 451-463.
Yousefi, M.; Heydari-Guran, S.; Kafash, A.; Ghasidian, E. (2020). Species distribution models advance our knowledge of the Neanderthals’ paleoecology on the Iranian Plateau. Scientific Reports; 10: 14248. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71166-9.
Yousefi, M.; Kafash, A.; Valizadegan, N.; Sheykhi Ilanloo, S.; Rajabizadeh, M.; Malekoutikhah, S.; Hosseinian Yousefkhani, S.S.; Ashrafi, S. (2019). Climate change is a major problem for biodiversity conservation: a systematic review of recent studies in Iran. Contemporary Problems of Ecology; 12: 394-403.
Young, N.; Carter, L.; Evangelista, P. (2011). A MaxEnt model v3. 3.3 e tutorial (ArcGIS v10). Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University and the National Institute of Invasive Species Science, Denver, Colorado.
Zanolli, C.; Biglari, F.; Mashkour, M.; Abdi, K.; Monchot, H.; Debue, K.; Mazurier, A.; Bayle, P.; Le Luyer, M.; Rougier, H.; Trinkaus, E.; Macchiarelli, R. (2019). A Neanderthal from the Central Western Zagros, Iran. Structural reassessment of the Wezmeh 1 maxillary premolar. Journal of Human Evolution; 135: 102643.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Edwards, T.C.; Graham, C.H.; Pearman, P.B.; Svenning, J.-C. (2010). New trends in species distribution modelling. Ecography; 33: 985-989.